Question 141 of 183 in In the News 2022
Started Nov 19, 2021 10:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization?

Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Islands (, Bloomberg, Diplomat).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 10.00% +0.00%
No 90.00% -0.00%

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