Before 1 December 2022, will the Women's Tennis Association (WTA) announce the lifting of its suspension of WTA tournaments in China and Hong Kong?

Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Challenges

After tennis star Peng Shuai accused a high-ranking Chinese political official of sexual assault on social media and was subsequently hidden from public view, the WTA announced the immediate suspension of all WTA tournaments in China, including Hong Kong, in concern for her safety (NPR, WTA, ESPN). When the lifting of the suspension would take effect is immaterial, and a partial lifting would count. For the purposes of this question, Macau is considered a part of China.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 4.53%
No 95.47%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 106
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 338
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.036
2.
-0.036
3.
-0.036
5.
-0.036

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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