The Economist asks:

What will be the FAO Food Price Index for June 2022?

Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The UN Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Food Price Index, which in the past has been predictive of popular unrest, has reached historic highs (Economist, Axios, Slate). This question will be resolved using data reported by the FAO in July 2022, typically released in the first week of the month (FAO, see table near bottom of page).

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The question closed "More than 150.0" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 120.0 0%
Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive 0%
More than 130.0 but less than 140.0 0%
Between 140.0 and 150.0, inclusive 0%
More than 150.0 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 192
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 851
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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