Who will win the election for Illinois' 17th Congressional District in 2022?

Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 70%
The Republican Party candidate 30%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 257
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.445
2.
-0.34
3.
-0.256
4.
-0.212
5.
-0.202

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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