David Epstein asks:
Who will win the US Senate election for Georgia in 2022?
Started
Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
With the US Senate evenly divided going into the 2022 elections, the GOP is defending 20 seats while Democrats are defending 14 this November (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 6 December 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| The Democratic Party candidate | 82% | |
| The Republican Party candidate | 18% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 206 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 756 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
