Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Bobbiekar52 asks:

What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 4 July 2022?

The price of gasoline in the US hit all-time highs in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (Car and Driver, CBS News). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for "Weekly U.S. All Grades All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" (EIA, see table).

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The question closed "Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive" with a closing date of 4 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3.000 0%
Between 3.000 and 3.400, inclusive 0%
More than 3.400 but less than 3.800 0%
Between 3.800 and 4.200, inclusive 0%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.600 0%
Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive 48%
More than 5.000 52%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 455
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 541
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.241
2.
-0.222
3.
-0.216
4.
-0.196
5.
-0.196

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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