What will be the value of the FAO Meat Price Index for February 2023?
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The UN Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Food Price Indicies, which in the past has been predictive of popular unrest, has reached historic highs (Axios, Slate). The question will be suspended on 28 February 2023 and the outcome determined using nominal data reported by the FAO for Meat for February 2023, expected in early March 2023 (FAO, see table near bottom of page). As of launch, the value for the Meat Price Index for March 2022 was 120.0. To download historical nominal data, click either "Excel" or "CSV" above the chart titled "FAO Food Price Index in nominal and real terms."
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 105.0 | 2% | |
Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive | 60% | |
More than 114.0 but less than 123.0 | 38% | |
Between 123.0 and 132.0, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 132.0 but less than 141.0 | 0% | |
Between 141.0 and 150.0, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 150.0 but less than 159.0 | 0% | |
159.0 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 44 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 353 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |