David Epstein asks:
What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 November 2022?
Closed Nov 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
A slew of factors, including inflation, interest rates, and the war in Ukraine, have pushed equities down from record highs at the beginning of the year (Investing.com, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED).
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The question closed "Between 3,900 and 4,175, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 November 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 3,900 | 19% | |
Between 3,900 and 4,175, inclusive | 79% | |
More than 4,175 but less than 4,450 | 2% | |
Between 4,450 and 4,725, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 4,725 but less than 5,000 | 0% | |
5,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 132 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1024 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |