David Epstein asks:
What will be the closing spot price for Brent crude oil on 14 November 2022?
Closed Nov 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Oil prices are being pushed and pulled by a number of factors, from production limits and Russian sanctions to post-COVID recovery concerns (CNBC, US News & World Report). The outcome will be determined using US Energy Information Administration data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED).
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The question closed "More than $85.00 but less than $100.00 per barrel" with a closing date of 14 November 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $70.00 per barrel | 0% | |
Between $70.00 and $85.00 per barrel, inclusive | 4% | |
More than $85.00 but less than $100.00 per barrel | 81% | |
Between $100.00 and $115.00 per barrel, inclusive | 15% | |
More than $115.00 but less than $130.00 per barrel | 0% | |
$130.00 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 96 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 699 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |