David Epstein asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen in October 2022?
Closed Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The aviation industry continues to recover from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic fallout (Daily Mail, Travel Pulse). The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).
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The question closed "Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 November 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 50 million | 1% | |
| Between 50 million and 58 million, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than 58 million but fewer than 66 million | 8% | |
| Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive | 87% | |
| More than 74 million | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 96 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 586 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
