David Epstein asks:

What will be total regular season attendance at Major League Baseball games in 2022?

Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC

While Opening Day for baseball was postponed due to contract issues between team owners and the player's union, MLB has a full 162-game season scheduled for 2022 (CBS Sports, MLB). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Baseball Reference (Baseball Reference, see "Attendance" column).

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The question closed "Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 5 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 40 million 0%
Between 40 million and 45 million, inclusive 0%
More than 45 million but fewer than 50 million 0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive 0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million 5%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive 90%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million 5%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive 0%
More than 75 million 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220
Number of Forecasts 238
Average for questions older than 6 months: 615
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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