SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the price of palladium on 21 October 2022, according to the London Metal Exchange?

Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 21, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Palladium prices have surged since Russia, one of the world's largest producers, invaded Ukraine (Deutsche Welle, Investing.com, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using "USD-PM" price data (per troy ounce) for 21 October 2022 when first published by the London Metal Exchange (LME).

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The question closed "Between 1600.00 and 2000.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 21 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1600.00 1%
Between 1600.00 and 2000.00, inclusive 39%
More than 2000.00 but less than 2400.00 58%
Between 2400.00 and 2800.00, inclusive 2%
More than 2800.00 but less than 3200.00 0%
Between 3200.00 and 3600.00, inclusive 0%
More than 3600.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 474
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.282
2.
-0.253
3.
-0.25
5.
-0.222

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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