Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 21, 2022 07:01AM UTC

SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the price of palladium on 21 October 2022, according to the London Metal Exchange?

Palladium prices have surged since Russia, one of the world's largest producers, invaded Ukraine (Deutsche Welle, Investing.com, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using "USD-PM" price data (per troy ounce) for 21 October 2022 when first published by the London Metal Exchange (LME).

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The question closed "Between 1600.00 and 2000.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 21 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1600.00 1%
Between 1600.00 and 2000.00, inclusive 39%
More than 2000.00 but less than 2400.00 58%
Between 2400.00 and 2800.00, inclusive 2%
More than 2800.00 but less than 3200.00 0%
Between 3200.00 and 3600.00, inclusive 0%
More than 3600.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 474
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.282
2.
-0.253
3.
-0.25
5.
-0.222

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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