In Gallup's 2022 Confidence in Institutions survey, what percentage of respondents will say they have either a "Great deal" or "Quite a lot" of confidence in the US Supreme Court?
For decades, polling firm Gallup has taken annual surveys of Americans about their confidence in American institutions, including the Supreme Court (Gallup - Confidence in Institutions, Gallup - 2021 Confidence in Institutions). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome determined using data for the same poll, expected to be conducted in June 2022 and released thereafter. Other Gallup polling regarding the Supreme Court would be immaterial. For 2021, 36% of respondents said they have either a "Great deal" or "Quite a lot" of confidence in the US Supreme Court.
The question closed "Less than 29%" with a closing date of 23 June 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Less than 29%||25%|
|Between 29% and 33%, inclusive||55%|
|More than 33% but less than 39%||20%|
|Between 39% and 43%, inclusive||0%|
|More than 43%||0%|
|Number of Forecasters||46|
|average for questions in their first 3 months: 182|
|Number of Forecasts||160|
|average for questions in their first 3 months: 397|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|