What will be the value of the US "M2" money supply as of 26 June 2023?
Closed Jun 26, 2023 07:01AM UTC
In April 2022, the US "M2" money supply metric contracted by the largest amount in decades amid the Federal Reserve's moves to being tightening monetary policy (CNBC, Investopedia, Federal Reserve Money Stock Measures - H.6 Release). The question will be suspended on 25 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as provided by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED). As of 28 March 2022, the value of US M2 was $21,924.7 billion.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,750.0 billion" with a closing date of 26 June 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $19,250.0 billion | 1% | |
| Between $19,250.0 billion and $20,000.0 billion, inclusive | 6% | |
| More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,750.0 billion | 78% | |
| Between $20,750.0 billion and $21,500.0 billion, inclusive | 14% | |
| More than $21,500.0 billion | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 59 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 307 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
