Started Jul 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 8.50% before 1 December 2022?

As central banks increase interest rates amid recession fears, borrowing costs for "high-yield" bonds (aka junk bonds) could continue to rise (NASDAQ, Yahoo!, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for "ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread" (FRED). For 29 June 2022, the spread was 5.62%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 12.83% -0.52% -1.35% -5.22%
No 87.17% +0.52% +1.35% +5.22%

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