DippySkippy asks:

What will be the Bank of England's Bank Rate at close of business on 15 December 2022?

Started Aug 19, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2022 08:01AM UTC

As the UK grapples with inflation like much of the world, the Bank of England increased its benchmark Bank Rate by 0.5% in August 2022, the largest increase since 1997 (CNBC, Guardian). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, and raised it to 1.75% at its August 2022 meeting (Bank of England - Bank Rate, Bank of England - August 2022 MPC Minutes). The MPC is scheduled to meet on 15 September 2022, 3 November 2022, and 15 December 2022 (Bank of England - MPC Schedule).

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The question closed "More than 3.25%" with a closing date of 15 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2.00% 0%
Between 2.00% and 2.25%, inclusive 0%
More than 2.25% but less than 3.00% 1%
Between 3.00% and 3.25%, inclusive 6%
More than 3.25% 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 401
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.232
3.
-0.172
4.
-0.166
5.
-0.138

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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