Started Aug 19, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 15, 2022 08:01AM UTC

DippySkippy asks:

What will be the Bank of England's Bank Rate at close of business on 15 December 2022?

As the UK grapples with inflation like much of the world, the Bank of England increased its benchmark Bank Rate by 0.5% in August 2022, the largest increase since 1997 (CNBC, Guardian). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, and raised it to 1.75% at its August 2022 meeting (Bank of England - Bank Rate, Bank of England - August 2022 MPC Minutes). The MPC is scheduled to meet on 15 September 2022, 3 November 2022, and 15 December 2022 (Bank of England - MPC Schedule).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "More than 3.25%" with a closing date of 15 December 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2.00% 0%
Between 2.00% and 2.25%, inclusive 0%
More than 2.25% but less than 3.00% 1%
Between 3.00% and 3.25%, inclusive 6%
More than 3.25% 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 238
Number of Forecasts 401
Average for questions older than 6 months: 658
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username