The Economist asks:
What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2023?
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
As China continues to deal with COVID outbreaks and a distressed property market, its economic growth has slowed (CNBC, Al Jazeera, Guardian). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in April 2023 (Trading Economics).
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The question closed "Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 0.0% | 2% | |
| Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive | 11% | |
| More than 2.0% but less than 4.0% | 50% | |
| Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive | 32% | |
| More than 6.0% but less than 8.0% | 4% | |
| 8.0% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 176 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 469 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
