What will be the highest annual inflation rate in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for any month between and including September 2022 and February 2023?

Started Aug 26, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Inflation concerns continue to rise in the UK, particularly regarding energy (CNBC, Axios). The question will be suspended on 28 February 2023 and the outcome will be determined using the "CPI ANNUAL RATE" as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) when data for February 2023 are first released, expected in March 2023 (ONS, hover cursor over chart line for data).

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The question closed "Between 11.0% and 14.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 11.0% 2%
Between 11.0% and 14.0%, inclusive 97%
More than 14.0% but less than 17.0% 1%
Between 17.0% and 20.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 20.0% but less than 23.0% 0%
23.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 378
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.049
2.
-0.041
3.
-0.038
4.
-0.031
5.
-0.02

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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