Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel the People's Republic of China (PRC) and those of any other country before 28 November 2022?
Closed Nov 28, 2022 08:01AM UTC
China is dealing with tensions with various countries, including India, Japan, Taiwan, and the US (US News & World Report, Voice of America, Council on Foreign Relations). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side. For the purposes of this question, Taiwan is considered another country.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 November 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.37% | |
| No | 97.63% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 237 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 736 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
