What will be Ukraine's annual rate of inflation in May 2023?

Started Sep 30, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

As Ukraine continues to fight against Russia's invasion, the country is also battle wartime inflation (US News & World Report, Deutsche Welle). The outcome will be determined using annual consumer price data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics). For historical data, visit https://ukrstat.gov.ua/. On the page, click "ENG" in the upper right corner, then click "Statistical information" on the blue ribbon near the top, then click "Prices" under Economic statistics, and then click "Consumer price indices for goods and services (to corresponding month of previous year)" under "Consumer price indices." As of 30 September 2022, Ukraine's annual rate of inflation for May 2022 was 18.0%.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Between 10.0% and 16.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 10.0% 2%
Between 10.0% and 16.0%, inclusive 49%
Higher than 16.0% but lower than 22.0% 42%
Between 22.0% and 28.0%, inclusive 7%
Higher than 28.0% but lower than 34.0% 0%
Between 34.0% and 40.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 40.0% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 229
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.33
3.
-0.274
4.
-0.258
5.
-0.223

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username