Johnxf asks:
Will elections for the Kurdistan Parliament be held in 2023?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
In October 2022, the Kurdistan Parliament extended its current term because political parties in the regional party could not come to an agreement on holding elections in 2022 as planned (Kurdistan24, Al Arabiya, Parliament.krd). The question would close early upon the official announcement that parliamentary elections will not take place in 2023.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9.90% | |
| No | 90.10% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 50 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 196 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
