Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What percentage of the labour force in British Columbia (BC) will be comprised of workers 55 years and older in December 2023?

Started Nov 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada, parameters set in link). To retrieve data for a specific month, see the month and year drop-down menus under "Reference period," and click "Apply." Subsequent revisions to data would be immaterial. The percentage of workers 55 years and older who are in the labour force will be determined by dividing the "Labour force" figure for "55 years and older" by the "Labour force" figure for "15 years and over" for December 2023. In October 2022, workers 55 years and older comprised 21.87% (=630.8/2884.6) of the BC labour force.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 20.0% 0.90% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Between 20.0% and 21.0%, inclusive 4.90% +0.00% +1.00% +1.60%
More than 21.0% but less than 22.0% 60.60% +0.10% +1.60% +13.50%
Between 22.0% and 23.0%, inclusive 27.40% +0.00% -2.50% -2.60%
More than 23.0% 6.20% -0.10% -0.10% -12.50%

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