Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the average price of a litre of gasoline in Vancouver, British Columbia, on 31 May 2023, according to the Canadian Automobile Association (CAA)?
Closed May 31, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The price of gasoline in Vancouver, BC, is well off its highs for 2022, though various factors may push prices back up in 2023 (Daily Hive). The question will be suspended on 30 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CAA for 31 May 2023 (CAA, change "Ontario" to "British Columbia" and select "Vancouver" as the city). On 6 December 2022, the average price of a litre of gasoline in Vancouver, BC, was 157.8, or Can$1.578.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "More than Can$1.75 but less than Can$2.00" with a closing date of 31 May 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than Can$1.50 | 0% | |
| Between Can$1.50 and Can$1.75, inclusive | 5% | |
| More than Can$1.75 but less than Can$2.00 | 87% | |
| Between Can$2.00 and Can$2.25, inclusive | 8% | |
| More than Can$2.25 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 25 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 133 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
