Nonrival asks:

Will the combined daily Android users of Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat exceed 1.74 billion in February 2023?

Started Dec 09, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

October 2022 saw the third consecutive month of declines in Android device users on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat (Nonrival, see first chart). The question will be suspended on 28 February 2023 and the outcome determined using SimilarWeb data as reported by Nonrival (Similarweb, Nonrival - Substack).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 52.23%
No 47.77%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 64
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 137
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.402
3.
-0.392
4.
-0.387
5.
-0.372

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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