Ev-Ze asks:

In Biden v. Nebraska, will the Supreme Court rule that any of the Respondents in the case has Article III standing to challenge the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness program?

Started Dec 16, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2023 07:01AM UTC

After President Biden announced in August 2022 his plan to forgive up to $20,000 of federal student loan debt, various groups filed lawsuits to stop it, including the states of Nebraska, Missouri, Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, and South Carolina (Respondents) (Whitehouse.gov, Lincoln Journal Star). Respondents were granted an injunction to prevent the plan from proceeding, eventually leading to the Supreme Court to agree to hear the case on its merits this term (CNBC, CNET, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2022 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 30 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 66.00%
No 34.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 113
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.082
3.
-0.075
4.
-0.073

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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