Will Finland and/or Sweden become members of NATO before 1 July 2023?

Started Dec 30, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

On 18 May 2022, the countries of Finland and Sweden both submitted applications to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and approval from Hungary and Turkey were the final remaining obstacles to membership as of the end of 2022 (NATO, NPR, Euronews, NATO Parliamentary Assembly). The latest country to join NATO was North Macedonia on 27 March 2020 (NATO).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, Finland only 78.00% +1.00% +2.00% +9.00%
Yes, Sweden only 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Yes, both Finland and Sweden 20.00% -1.00% -1.00% -7.00%
No 2.00% +0.00% -1.00% -2.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username