How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in the first quarter of 2023?
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The airline industry is striving to return to pre-COVID levels of air traffic in 2023 (Visual Capitalist, US News & World Report). The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA). Totals for the previous four first quarters were 189,566,760 in 2019; 153,166,437 in 2020; 86,850,884 in 2021; and 158,171,113 in 2022.
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The question closed "More than 180 million but fewer than 200 million" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 120 million | 0% | |
| Between 120 million and 140 million, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 140 million but fewer than 160 million | 0% | |
| Between 160 million and 180 million, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than 180 million but fewer than 200 million | 99% | |
| 200 million or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 38 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 197 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 276 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 500 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
