Nonrival asks:

Will Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P downgrade their long-term credit ratings or outlooks for the United States in 2023?

Started Jan 13, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

With a political fight looming over the US debt ceiling, there are concerns that US credit ratings could be downgraded (The Hill, AP). Fitch, Moody's, and S&P are the "Big Three" global credit rating agencies, which assign ratings on a borrower's likelihood of repaying its debts (Investopedia - Credit Rating). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics). A downgrade to the outlook or a negative watch would count (Investopedia - Negative Watch).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 18.54% +0.00% +0.37% +2.04%
No 81.46% -0.00% -0.37% -2.04%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username