Nonrival asks:
How many tech industry employees will be laid off in February 2023 and March 2023, according to Layoffs.fyi?
Closed Mar 22, 2023 10:00PM UTC
As economic outlooks weaken, tech companies have begun laying off workers (Nonrival, BBC, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the website Layoffs.fyi (Layoffs.fyi, see "Layoff Charts" and hover your cursor over the chart for monthly data). Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM on 7 April 2023. As of the launch of this question, layoffs for 10,249 employees were reported in December 2022.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "30,000 or more in both February 2023 and March 2023" with a closing date of 22 March 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 30,000 or more in February 2023, but not March 2023 | 25% | |
| 30,000 or more in March 2023, but not February 2023 | 0% | |
| 30,000 or more in both February 2023 and March 2023 | 75% | |
| Fewer than 30,000 in both February 2023 and March 2023 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 110 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
