UBS asks:
Between 3 February 2023 and 30 June 2023, how will the Russell 1000 Growth Index (Growth Index) perform as compared to the Russell 1000 Value Index (Value Index)?
Closed Jun 30, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 29 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance - Russell 1000 Growth, Google Finance - Russell 1000 Value). The closing values of each index for 30 June 2023 will be divided by their respective closing values for 3 February 2023 to determine the performance, or percentage change. The difference in percentage points of each calculation will determine the resolution. In the event of an exact tie, the index with the greater percentage increase at any point between the close on 3 February 2023 to the close on 30 June 2023 would be deemed the outperformer.
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The question closed "The Growth Index will outperform the Value Index by 3.0 percentage points or more" with a closing date of 30 June 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
The Growth Index will outperform the Value Index by 3.0 percentage points or more | 93% | |
The Growth Index will outperform the Value Index by less than 3.0 percentage points | 1% | |
The Value Index will outperform the Growth Index by less than 3.0 percentage points | 0% | |
The Value Index will outperform the Growth Index by 3.0 percentage points or more | 6% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 47 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 204 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |