Polymorpheus asks:

Which country will win the 2023 Women's FIFA World Cup?

Started Feb 10, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 20, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The 2023 Women's FIFA World Cup is scheduled to take place in Australia and New Zealand from 20 July 2023 to 20 August 2023 (FIFA Women’s World Cup 2023). Thirty-two teams will qualify to compete (FIFA - Match Schedule).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Spain" with a closing date of 20 August 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Australia 1%
England 53%
France 0%
Germany 0%
Netherlands 0%
Spain 45%
Sweden 1%
United States 0%
Another team 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 375
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.622
2.
-0.533
3.
-0.451
4.
-0.297
5.
-0.297

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username