The Economist asks:
Will the Morena party candidate win the 2023 gubernatorial election in Mexico state (Estado de México)?
Started
Feb 10, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's party, Morena, hopes to add the State of Mexico to its list of governorships when voters go to the polls on 4 June 2023 (Economist, CNN Mexico Report, BNamericas).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 4 June 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 88.15% | |
| No | 11.85% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 50 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 154 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
