Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will all seven states that share the Colorado River Basin sign a proposal to the Bureau of Reclamation agreeing on Colorado River water usage cuts before 1 August 2023?
Closed Aug 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
On 31 January 2023, six of the seven states (California didn't participate) that share the Colorado River Basin submitted a proposal to cut back on water usage from the river to help ensure that minimum levels in reservoirs on the river are maintained (UPI, NPR - Northern Colorado, Southern Nevada Water Authority). California offered its own proposal, but there is no consensus among the seven states (AP, The Hill).
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NOTE 20 February 2023: All seven states must sign the same proposal for it to count.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 August 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.86% | |
| No | 95.14% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 72 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 253 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
