What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 26 May 2023?
Closed May 25, 2023 11:59PM UTC
Forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2023 portend potential volatility and downside risks, which are complicated by troubles at US banks (Yahoo Finance, US News & World Report, Market Watch AP). The question will be suspended on 25 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED).
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The question closed "More than 4,000 but less than 4,300" with a closing date of 26 May 2023.
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|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Less than 3,100||0%|
|Between 3,100 and 3,400, inclusive||0%|
|More than 3,400 but less than 3,700||0%|
|Between 3,700 and 4,000, inclusive||7%|
|More than 4,000 but less than 4,300||90%|
|Between 4,300 and 4,600, inclusive||3%|
|More than 4,600 but less than 4,900||0%|
|4,900 or more||0%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||94|
|Average for questions in their first 3 months: 163|
|Number of Forecasts||384|
|Average for questions in their first 3 months: 361|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|