What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 26 May 2023?
Closed May 25, 2023 11:59PM UTC
Forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2023 portend potential volatility and downside risks, which are complicated by troubles at US banks (Yahoo Finance, US News & World Report, Market Watch AP). The question will be suspended on 25 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED).
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The question closed "More than 4,000 but less than 4,300" with a closing date of 26 May 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3,100 | 0% | |
| Between 3,100 and 3,400, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 3,400 but less than 3,700 | 0% | |
| Between 3,700 and 4,000, inclusive | 7% | |
| More than 4,000 but less than 4,300 | 90% | |
| Between 4,300 and 4,600, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 4,600 but less than 4,900 | 0% | |
| 4,900 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 94 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 384 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
