What will be the value for the informal US dollar to Argentine peso exchange rate (aka "blue dollar" rate) on 30 November 2023?
Closed Nov 30, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The Argentine peso has hit historic lows against the US dollar in both official and informal exchange rates as inflation reached 100% and with political uncertainty surrounding elections scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2023 (BBC, AP, Buenos Aires Times). The question will be suspended on 29 November 2023 and the outcome determined using chart data for 30 November 2023 as reported by Blue Dollar (Blue Dollar, set "Zoom" to "1Y"). The Argentine presidential election is scheduled for 22 October 2023, with a runoff on 19 November 2023, if needed (teleSUR).
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The question closed "Between 850 and 1,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 November 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 400 | 0% | |
| Between 400 and 500, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 500 but lower than 600 | 0% | |
| Between 600 and 700, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 700 but lower than 850 | 2% | |
| Between 850 and 1,000, inclusive | 77% | |
| Higher than 1,000 but lower than 1,400 | 20% | |
| 1,400 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 22 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 271 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
