What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 15 December 2023?
Started
Aug 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 14 December 2023 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). For 14 August 2023, the yield was 4.19%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 3.20% | 0.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | -3.00% |
| Between 3.20% and 3.60%, inclusive | 1.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | -5.00% |
| Higher than 3.60% but lower than 4.00% | 3.00% | -1.00% | -10.00% | -12.00% |
| Between 4.00% and 4.40%, inclusive | 37.00% | -5.00% | -8.00% | -2.00% |
| Higher than 4.40% but lower than 4.80% | 41.00% | +2.00% | +12.00% | +19.00% |
| Between 4.80% and 5.20%, inclusive | 15.00% | +3.00% | +8.00% | +4.00% |
| Higher than 5.20% but lower than 5.60% | 2.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% |
| 5.60% or higher | 1.00% | +1.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |