Which 2024 Republican presidential candidate will win the most pledged delegates for the Republican National Convention?

Started Sep 11, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Closing Jun 04, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Pledged (aka bound) delegates are bound to vote for the candidate selected per the primary or caucus results in their respective jurisdictions in at least the first round at the Republican National Convention (Ballotpedia - Republican Delegate Rules 2024). As of the launch of this question, the first contest in the Republican primary season for the 2024 presidential election is the Iowa caucuses scheduled for 15 January 2024, with the last four primaries scheduled for 4 June 2023 (270 to Win). Any litigation concerning a candidate's eligibility to be president is immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Ron DeSantis 9.00% +0.00% -0.62% -2.00%
Nikki Haley 13.00% +0.00% -0.06% +3.00%
Mike Pence 1.00% +0.00% +0.35% +0.00%
Vivek Ramaswamy 3.00% +0.00% -0.08% +0.00%
Donald Trump 71.00% +0.00% +0.12% +0.00%
Someone else 3.00% +0.00% +0.28% -1.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username