Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 1 January 2024?

Started Sep 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Speaker of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy announced 12 September 2023 that he was directing committees to open a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden (Twitter, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden 2.53% -0.03% -0.47% -0.47%
Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden 9.72% -0.25% -3.28% +0.72%
No 87.75% +0.28% +3.75% -0.25%

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