Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 1 January 2024?
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Speaker of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy announced 12 September 2023 that he was directing committees to open a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden (Twitter, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours||Change in last week||Change in last month|
|Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden||2.53%||-0.03%||-0.47%||-0.47%|
|Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden||9.72%||-0.25%||-3.28%||+0.72%|