The Economist asks:
When will a new parliamentary election be called in Canada?
Closed Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is expected to seek another term, but if and when new elections will be called remains up in the air (Economist, CBC). For early elections to be called, the Governor General, usually at the request of the prime minister, must dissolve parliament and issue election writs (Elections Canada, Edmonton Journal, Canadian Gazette - Proclamation Dissolving Parliament, Canadian Gazette - Proclamation Issuing Election Writs). The date an early election is to be held is immaterial, and the calling of a by-election would not count (Elections Canada).
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The question closed "Not before 1 October 2024" with a closing date of 1 October 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 June 2024 | 0% | |
Between 1 June 2024 and 30 September 2024 | 3% | |
Not before 1 October 2024 | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 184 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 533 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |