The Economist asks:

What will be the price per pound of uranium on 16 September 2024, according to Trading Economics?

Started Jan 19, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 16, 2024 07:01AM UTC

As the world moves away from hydrocarbons, nuclear energy production is growing around the world amid supply struggles for uranium (Economist, Yahoo, Carbon Credits). The question will be suspended on 15 September 2024 and the outcome determined using price data (USD/Lbs) as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, select "1Y" on the lower left of the chart). On 1 January 2024, the price per pound was USD 91.00.

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The question closed "More than 75.00 but less than 90.00" with a closing date of 16 September 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 60.00 0%
Between 60.00 and 75.00, inclusive 4%
More than 75.00 but less than 90.00 89%
Between 90.00 and 105.00, inclusive 5%
More than 105.00 but less than 120.00 1%
Between 120.00 and 135.00, inclusive 0%
More than 135.00 but less than 150.00 0%
150.00 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 169
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 950
Average for questions older than 6 months: 556
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.172465
2.
-0.151233
3.
-0.14257
4.
-0.137366
5.
-0.136957

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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