When will the closing value for the US dollar to Chinese renminbi (aka yuan) exchange rate reach or exceed 7.70?

Started May 03, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 20, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The Chinese yuan's value to the US dollar has slipped in 2024 and observers speculate the country could allow its currency to further depreciate (Yahoo [Bloomberg], US News & World Report). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "Not before 21 December 2024" with a closing date of 21 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 19 July 2024 0%
Between 19 July 2024 and 4 October 2024 0%
Between 5 October 2024 and 20 December 2024 0%
Not before 21 December 2024 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 185
Number of Forecasts 90
Average for questions older than 6 months: 537
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001105
2.
-0.000889
4.
-0.000628
5.
-0.000304

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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