ALabinsky asks:

What will voter turnout be in the 2024 presidential election?

Started May 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Turnout will be a major factor in the outcome of the 2024 presidential election (ABC News, Yahoo [LA Times], https://election.lab.ufl.edu/national-turnout-rates-graph/). The question will be suspended on 4 November 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Elections Project (US Elections Project). The data will be linked as "General" next to "2024" and found under the "Vote for Highest Office (President)" and "Voting-Eligible Population (VEP)" (titles may vary) column for "United States," typically in the first row US Elections Project - Numerator, US Elections Project - Denominator). In 2020, The "Vote for Highest Office (President)" was 158,407,854 and the "Voting-Eligible Population (VEP)" was 239,924,038, for a turnout rate of 66.02417%. The data will be accessed for resolution on 31 December 2024. If no data are available on 31 December 2024, the outcome will be determined using data when first available.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 56.0% 9.00% 0% +4.00% +6.60%
At least 56.0%, but less than 60.0% 14.00% 0% 0% -2.00%
At least 60.0%, but less than 64.0% 39.00% 0% -1.00% -7.00%
At least 64.0%, but less than 68.0% 31.00% 0% -1.00% +3.48%
At least 68.0%, but less than 72.0% 6.00% 0% -2.00% -1.56%
72.0% or more 1.00% 0% 0% +0.48%

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