What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2024?
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The US inflation rate fell slightly in April 2024 to about 3.4%, though still higher than the Federal Reserve's target of 2% (USA Today, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2024 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for September 2024 as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in October 2024 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for September 2023 was 3.69406%.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
---|---|---|---|---|
Up by less than 1.200% or down | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.05% |
Up by at least 1.200%, but less than 1.800% | 0.05% | 0% | -0.05% | -0.20% |
Up by at least 1.800%, but less than 2.400% | 13.15% | +0.45% | +2.40% | +2.80% |
Up by at least 2.400%, but less than 3.000% | 74.30% | -0.45% | -1.25% | +10.90% |
Up by at least 3.000%, but less than 3.600% | 12.30% | 0% | -0.95% | -11.20% |
Up at least 3.600%, but less than 4.200% | 0.20% | 0% | -0.15% | -2.00% |
Up by 4.200% or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.25% |