Oiram18 asks:
Before 1 March 2025, will Luis Arce flee Bolivia or cease to be its president?
Started
Jun 28, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
An attempted coup in Bolivia against President Luis Arce was quickly put down in June 2024, but political tensions fueled by economic problems remain (AP, US News & World Report). Whether or not Arce has fled Bolivia will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | |
| No | 94% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 87 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 304 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
