How many total Autonomous Vehicle Collision Reports will the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) report for 2024?
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
According to the California DMV, "Manufacturers who are testing autonomous vehicles need to report any collision that resulted in property damage, bodily injury, or death within 10 days of the incident" (California DMV). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined once the page is updated through all of 2024 (California DMV, see "2024"). As of 15 July 2024, the California DMV reported 47 Autonomous Vehicle Collision Reports for 2024.
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The question closed "Between 94 and 110" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 60 | 0% | |
| Between 60 and 76 | 0% | |
| Between 77 and 93 | 10% | |
| Between 94 and 110 | 90% | |
| Between 111 and 127 | 0% | |
| Between 128 and 144 | 0% | |
| More than 144 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 32 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 173 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 286 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 509 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
