What will be the closing value of the US dollar to Japanese yen exchange rate on 27 December 2024?

Started Aug 30, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The Japanese yen has strengthened substantially against the US dollar in July and August 2024 as the Bank of Japan has signaled that its tightening of monetary policy may continue (MSN [Wall Street Journal], CNBC). The question will be suspended on 26 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 22 August 2024, the closing value was 145.97.

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The question closed "At least 156.00, but less than 160.00" with a closing date of 27 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 132.00 0%
At least 132.00, but less than 136.00 0%
At least 136.00, but less than 140.00 0%
At least 140.00, but less than 144.00 0%
At least 144.00, but less than 148.00 0%
At least 148.00, but less than 152.00 1%
At least 152.00, but less than 156.00 17%
At least 156.00, but less than 160.00 80%
160.00 or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 176
Number of Forecasts 319
Average for questions older than 6 months: 517
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.316115
2.
-0.180362
3.
-0.124202
4.
-0.123985
5.
-0.112085

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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