Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many of the tech companies among Alphabet (Google), Apple, Meta (Facebook), Microsoft, and NVIDIA will announce a full-time "return to office" policy in the US before 1 January 2025?

Started Oct 10, 2024 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

On 16 September 2024, ecommerce giant Amazon CEO Andy Jassy announced that "we’re going to return to being in the office the way we were before the onset of COVID" (Amazon, Ars Technica). The date the policy change will take effect is immaterial so long as it is contemplated to be implemented before February 2026. An announcement of a general full-time return to work policy with specific exceptions (e.g., excluding positions that are remote by design) will count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Zero 91.00% +1.00% +3.00% +20.63%
One or two 7.00% -1.00% -2.00% -14.16%
Three or more 2.00% 0% -1.00% -6.47%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username