What will be the closing value of shares of Tesla Inc (TSLA) on 15 November 2024?

Started Oct 15, 2024 08:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Tesla shares have had a strong run in the second half of 2024 amid speculation about future products, including a "robotaxi" (MSN [Barron's], The Verge, Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 14 November 2024 and the outcome determined using closing price data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M"). On 11 October 2024, Tesla shares had a closing value of $217.80. In the event that Tesla stock splits before 16 November 2024, the price value for use in resolution will be adjusted accordingly.

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The question closed "$284.00 or more" with a closing date of 15 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $158.00 0%
At least $158.00, but less than $172.00 0%
At least $172.00, but less than $186.00 0%
At least $186.00, but less than $200.00 0%
At least $200.00, but less than $214.00 0%
At least $214.00, but less than $228.00 0%
At least $228.00, but less than $242.00 1%
At least $242.00, but less than $256.00 3%
At least $256.00, but less than $270.00 1%
At least $270.00, but less than $284.00 3%
$284.00 or more 92%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 147
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133
Number of Forecasts 527
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 305
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.606052
2.
-0.517923
3.
-0.389682
4.
-0.389521
5.
-0.336496

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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