Who will the governor of Ohio publicly announce as the choice to fill the US Senate vacancy to be left by Vice President-elect JD Vance?
Started
Nov 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 17, 2025 06:20PM UTC
Closed Jan 17, 2025 06:20PM UTC
Challenges
With Senator JD Vance now the vice president-elect after the 2024 US election, the responsibility to replace Vance falls on the governor of Ohio (CNN, Newsweek, Fox News). The new Senate is scheduled to begin on 3 January 2025, and Vance is expected to be inaugurated as vice president on 20 January 2025 (US Constitution - Amendment XX).
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The question closed "Jon Husted" with a closing date of 17 January 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Carey | 2% | |
| Warren Davidson | 2% | |
| Matt Dolan | 2% | |
| Jon Husted | 38% | |
| Frank LaRose | 10% | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 6% | |
| Jane Timken | 28% | |
| Dave Yost | 4% | |
| Someone else | 9% | |
| The governor of Ohio will not announce a choice to replace JD Vance in the US Senate before 21 January 2025 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 25 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 130 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 109 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 298 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
