Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the spot exchange rate value of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar on 30 May 2025?
Closed May 30, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The impact of potential US tariffs on Canadian goods to be imposed by the incoming Trump administration has weighed on Canada's currency (US News & World Report, Forex.com). The question will be suspended on 29 May 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M"). On 5 December 2024, the exchange rate value was 1.4022.
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The question closed "At least 1.3400, but less than 1.3800" with a closing date of 30 May 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.2600 | 0% | |
| At least 1.2600, but less than 1.3000 | 0% | |
| At least 1.3000, but less than 1.3400 | 0% | |
| At least 1.3400, but less than 1.3800 | 35% | |
| At least 1.3800, but less than 1.4200 | 64% | |
| At least 1.4200, but less than 1.4600 | 1% | |
| At least 1.4600, but less than 1.5000 | 0% | |
| At least 1.5000, but less than 1.5400 | 0% | |
| 1.5400 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 173 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 174 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 508 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
